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Ukraine and Russia have agreed to carry out another large-scale prisoner exchange, the one concrete result of two days of US-mediated talks in Abu Dhabi that ended on November 11. Beyond that humanitarian step, both negotiators and mediators acknowledged there was no breakthrough on ending the war, with territory still the central obstacle. By the early hours of November 12, Russian state media reported that US special envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner had landed in Moscow.

A swap, with details still to come

The meeting on November 10–11 was the first three-way round since February. Ukraine's delegation was led by Rustem Umerov, while presidential aide Vladimir Medinsky headed Russia's team. Witkoff and Kushner mediated, and the United Arab Emirates' foreign minister, Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al Nahyan, hosted.

"The main result is that we managed to reach an agreement on a large-scale prisoner exchange," Umerov said, according to The Kyiv Independent, adding that the two sides were now working out the practical details. Medinsky spoke of a "fundamental agreement" and said details would be announced soon.

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The final numbers have not been published. What is known so far:

  • On November 10, President Volodymyr Zelensky said formats of 1,000-for-1,000 or 1,500-for-1,500 had been discussed.
  • Russia's TASS news agency, citing General Alexander Zorin, said it would be the largest exchange yet, involving more than 1,000 people on each side.
  • TASS also reported, as cited by Al Jazeera, that the swap could take place within two to three weeks.
  • Kushner said the number of prisoners would be finalised on November 12.

The largest swap to date, a 1,000-for-1,000 exchange agreed in Istanbul, took place in May 2025. The most recent one, on October 23, brought 270 Ukrainians home and was the eleventh exchange of 2026.

The gaps that remain

Umerov acknowledged that "significant differences" persist. Kushner described the session as "a very tough meeting but a productive one", said territorial questions would be the hardest to settle, and pointed to "progress" on a post-war security framework.

The underlying positions remain far apart. According to The Kyiv Independent, Moscow is demanding that Ukraine withdraw from the Donbas, a ban on Ukrainian NATO membership, caps on its armed forces and changes to language and church policy. Kyiv rejects giving up territory it holds, formally recognising the occupation or accepting military limits, and wants an unconditional ceasefire as a first step, an idea the Kremlin has repeatedly dismissed.

David Arakhamia, a member of Ukraine's delegation, spoke of "good momentum", Al Jazeera reported, and urged that future rounds be multilateral, with Europe at the table. National security advisers from France, Germany, the United Kingdom and Italy, together with NATO and EU officials, held separate consultations with the American and Ukrainian teams on the sidelines.

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Next stops: Moscow and Dublin

Witkoff and Kushner said they would meet Vladimir Putin in Moscow. "We see some openings and some opportunities," Kushner told reporters. The Kyiv Independent reported that the envoys hope to win the Kremlin's consent to widen the talks into a multilateral format that includes European countries.

From Moscow, the envoys are due in Dublin to debrief Zelensky, who is attending the European Political Community summit and an informal meeting of EU leaders on November 13.

Why it matters

For thousands of families, an exchange of this size matters more than any diplomatic communiqué, and it is the most tangible humanitarian outcome of the process in months. But it leaves the core dispute untouched. Whether the Moscow meeting produces anything substantive, and whether Russia accepts a role for Europe, will show if the talks can move beyond humanitarian gestures.

The distance between the negotiating table and the battlefield was underlined within hours: Russia struck Kyiv with ballistic missiles and drones overnight after the talks ended. Mayor Vitali Klitschko reported one person killed and seven injured.

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SoSpree - AI-powered marketplace
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